Will "The Doomers Were Right" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
0
2027
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The Doomers Were Right is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "The Pareto Best and the Curse of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "The Pareto Best and the Curse of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "AI Doomerism in 1879" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "2023 Survey Results" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
30% chance
Will "Optimistic Assumptions, Longterm Planning, an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "Introducing Open Asteroid Impact" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "A History of the Future, 2025-2040" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Foom & Doom 1: “Brain in a box in a basement”" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance