Class of '26; currently in Platinum (promoted on 2024 Open). Decentish amount of competition math experience; have been grinding USACO relatively intensely lately.

Holsteins are the IOI selection group; Guernseys are everyone else.

In my opinion, 1 and 2 are decently likely, 3 is pretty unlikely, and 4 is impossible. [Ignore the "Other" option.]

Scores:

December (certified) - 429

January (uncertified) - 729 (LB)

February (certified) - 333

Open (certified) - 667 (LB)

EDIT:

To clarify, if I'm initially invited as a Guernsey but end up being a Holstein, then this resolves as Holstein.

I might make a separate IOI market if I go to camp as a Holstein.