Which Players Will Be 2800 FIDE in 2025?
Basic
3
Ṁ145
2026
50%
Gukesh D
3%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
31%
Alireza Firouzja
31%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
20%
Wei Yi
20%
Praggnanandhaa R
20%
Hans Niemann
20%
Vincent Keymer
14%
Garry Kasparov
Resolved
YES
Other

Each option resolves to YES if the player has a FIDE rating of at least 2800 in any official monthly FIDE rating list in 2025 or the January 2026 rating list (I expect there will be many tournaments in December due to the FIDE circuit). Live ratings do not count. "Other" resolves to YES if any player not among the other 9 choices reaches a rating of 2800.

  • Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - Clarification: The "Other" option includes Magnus, Hikaru, Fabiano, and Arjun. (AI summary of creator comment)

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Originally I intended "other" to exclude Magnus, Hikaru, Fabiano, and Arjun, since including them would make it guaranteed from the January 2025 rating list. But since someone has already traded and the wording in the description is unambiguous, I guess I'll just resolve it when the first rating list comes out...

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