Will a candidate explicitly running as a Socialist be elected to Philadelphia City Council by 2027?
Basic
8
Ṁ2852027
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As of January 2023, there is currently one DSA member on city council and another running for it. In Seattle, Kshama Sawant was elected to city council as a Socialist.
For this market to resolve as Yes, someone would have to win running for an explicitly socialist political party. Eg. not the Democrats or Working Families.
This time period covers the 2023 and 2027 municipal elections.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a socialist be elected president by 2040?
31% chance
Will a US senator, other than Bernie Sanders, identify as a socialist before 2030?
52% chance
Which of the following people will be the Democratic nominee for New York City Mayor in 2025?
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President by 2032?
50% chance
Will there be at least 10 socialists in US Congress after the 2024 elections?
7% chance
In 2028, will democrats have a major presidential candidate from the centrist wing of the party?
59% chance
Will the Republican Party gain seats in the 2025 New York City Council Election?
47% chance
Will a candidate who is not from a current major political party make it to a U.S. presidential election by 2052?
37% chance
Who will be the Democratic Party nominee for New York City Comptroller in 2025?
Will a Third Party Candidate win a House seat by 2040?
18% chance