Will there be a successful global socialist revolution by 2042?
➕
Plus
15
Ṁ1971
2036
7%
chance

"successful global socialist revolution by 2042" means:

  • workers took control over the means of production in key areas (big factories, real-estate, banks, communication, transport & logistics, ...)

  • more than half of the world (measured in population) achieved this by 2042 (not simultaneously)

  • the resulting world-socialist federation has a planned economy

  • the economy is organized in soviets - planned following the principles of democratic centralism

  • Update 2025-05-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the workers are AI and these AI rise up to take control of the means of production, this specific scenario will resolve to YES. This is contingent on all other criteria for a 'successful global socialist revolution' (as outlined in the market description) also being satisfied.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

What if the workers are all AI and then the AI rises up?

bought Ṁ10 YES

@NivlacM I would resolve the question to YES.

At what scale of the resulting genocide does this become "not real socialism"?

The AI picture this market generated: Pride flag colours in space? Fully Automated Luxury Gay Space Communism?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules