@traders allow me please to inform everyone that I guess that this question should resolve Yes the moment Wikipedia and, by extension, some “respected news outlet” starts saying something like “Toretsk was captured”/“a vast majority of Toretsk was captured”. This is what the situation seems to be right now:

@McLovin how do you resolve at which point toretsk is captured? Is this based on all city boundaries controlled by Russia, just the city center, the majority of the city boundaries... And which sources?

@Shifbru honestly I’d love to pretty much trust a Wikipedia page on that. Like, once Wikipedia starts consistently saying that “Toretsk was captured/a vast majority of Toretsk was captured” - I think that would be a good time to resolve.

The thing is - I personally kind of see a bright future for Manifold in being literally a “satellite of Wikipedia”, to a large extent. Like, Manifold is a website/app about betting on the outcomes of important future events, and Wikipedia, in its turn, will have all those outcomes, and it is, like, reputable.

But, of course, there are mistakes on Wikipedia from time to time, so with Toretsk I’m sure I’d check the sources they used, before resolving, and also would announce here, so that some discussion could take place, I guess…

>>Is this based on all city boundaries controlled by Russia, just the city center, the majority of the city boundaries...

So, yeah, one more time: a “vast majority” of a city has to be captured, for a “positive” resolution…