What will be the best normalized score achieved on the original 7 RE-Bench tasks by December 31st 2025?

Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2026?

Will a genius grant be awarded to someone acknowledged to be the result of genetic IQ selection before 2055

Will the average IQ/intelligence of manifold users in 2025 be lower than that of 2023?

What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

If a definitive genetic study of race and intelligence gets performed, what will the W/B genetic g difference be?

Will GPT-4.5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?