Will any big western EU or UK city (as of 2023) have more than 50% Muslim population by 2050?
Will any big western EU or UK city (as of 2023) have more than 50% Muslim population by 2050?
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Big city in this question would be over 150.000 population.
Special cities like Melilla or Ceuta in Spain or similar would not count.
Only countries part of EU in 2023 counts, if Turkey is added to EU it would not count
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@Mikelon797 you should make this more clear. Turkey is seen by many as part of the 'west" going back to the cold War e.g. its NATO membership...
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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