Probably not in 2026 either

New budget request puts it at 2026

I'm removing the part of the criteria that says "Release of the launch clamps after ignition counts as a launch."

Reason for this is that the launch clamps apparently open well before the launch, and Starship is basically freestanding for a while, and they can still scrub from that state. Launch will now be actual takeoff unless we find a better point to hinge the market on.