Will someone be killed by a Cruise or Waymo taxi by 2025?
Plus
22
Ṁ1985Jan 1
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be a self-driving taxi "in production". Must be due to an accident, not any criminal sabotage. The accident must be the fault of the robotaxi. If this is disputed by the company, I will automatically resolve based on a legal finding or admission of fault (a comparative negligence finding can result in a % resolution), but in case this doesn't resolve the issue and it is still ambiguous, I will resolve to a % of culpability for the accident I feel is attributable to the robotaxi, (provided no other accidents occur).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
80% chance
Will Tesla serve more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
22% chance
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in San Francisco by Dec 31 2024?
3% chance
Will any Waymo driverless vehicle be involved in a serious accident in 2024?
19% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides on any SF freeways by the end of 2024? [description]
25% chance
Will a driverless Waymo be involved in a significant freeway crash (regardless of fault) in 2024 [description]
17% chance
Will there be any fatalities attributed to hacking of self-driving cars during 2024?
8% chance
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis by Dec 31 2024?
3% chance
Will I be able to order a self-driving taxi without a steering wheel by end of 2024?
4% chance
Will a Waymo be reported be robbed in 2024?
10% chance