OpenAI CEO doesn't think existential risk from AI is a serious concern in Jan 2026
Basic
3
Ṁ352026
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Yann LeCun change his mind about AI risk before 2025?
10% chance
Is the nature of AI risk completely misunderstood today with respect to the state of the art in 2030?
41% chance
Which famous people will name AI as an existential threat before 2026? [Mega Independent]
In 2050, will the general consensus among experts be that the concern over AI risk in the 2020s was justified?
72% chance
By 2028, will I believe that contemporary AIs are aligned (posing no existential risk)?
33% chance
Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?
26% chance
Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?
15% chance
In January 2026, how publicly salient will AI deepfakes/media be, vs AI labor impact, vs AI catastrophic risks?
Will Trump repeatedly raise concerns about existential risk from AI before the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will existential risks from AI still be considered a top problem to work on within the EA community by the end of 2024?
97% chance