Will SB49 (Restricts gender-affirming care for minors among other things) be in effect in Missouri in 2025?
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Missouri's SB49 bans minors from receiving gender-affirming medical care if they were not already receiving it before a certain deadline. It also restricts public funding for gender-affirming medical care. A lawsuit aims to strike this law down.
This question will resolve YES if SB49 is in effect for the entirety of Jan 1 2025 using CST. The question will resolve NO if the law is partially or fully struck down during that day.
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Laws of this nature have already been successful in other states and this one honestly doesn’t look as restrictive as some others.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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