Following reporting, this market resolves YES if the Labour Party have u-turned and confirmed by market close that the WFA will be available for winter 2025. Does not require legislation passed to resolve YES, a press statement is sufficient.
Increases to means-tested pensioner payments or other related benefits will not trigger a YES. It must be a full cancellation of the previous revocation, restoring the WFA policy and keeping the payment at a similar level to it was previously.
I'm not trading on this market because it's probably going to involve a subjective resolution, but right now this seems incredibly high? As per the description, this requires a full revocation and return to universal WFA. Right now Labour are talking about an increase to the number of pensioners receiving fuel payments through what sounds like tweaking the eligibility criteria, which is a pretty clear NO resolution unless something changes.