Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Basic
0
2030
63%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Wikipedia and/or Reform’s official website list Nigel Farage as party leader on polling day of the next UK general election after July 2024.
Resolves NO if there is no Reform UK party candidate standing due to merger or lack of candidates.
If Reform UK rebrand but otherwise remain relatively unchanged in terms of MPs and membership then this will resolve based on the new party name.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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