@traders Anyone have any evidence of this?

@OP Found this example from July 25, an interview on Fox. Theoretically, it could be later than 10:25 PM which was when the question was created (10:25 PM, July 25 - idk what time zone)

@Qoiuoiuoiu incredible. I searched transcripts when I made the question and nothing.

It looks like Manifold goes off of the user’s timezone. For me it shows the question created on 26 July 12:42PM in a UTC+8 timezone.

Fox and Friends is from 6AM to 8AM in EST, UTC-5. So it would have occurred before the market was finalised.

It is so incredibly dumb and unlucky that this example falls into the no-man’s-land between question creation and the transcript being uploaded.

I’m going to leave this resolution open for a few more days. If we’ve had two temporally-disqualified “Palestines” now, it seems very likely that there’s a valid one out there.

He says it at the 1:05 mark: https://trumpstruth.org/statuses/2916

@Arky Don’t think this counts, the market was created July 26, the video came out in April

@Arky Brad’s right that, by the wording of the question, it has to be after market creation, but if it’s any consolation I really would want to give it to you.

I thought I’d done a pretty thorough search of his rally transcripts prior to market creation, but you found one, on live tv too.

So no resolution yet, but traders can take it as a sign that a fumble from Trump is quite possible.

does "palestinians" count or no?

No. “Palestinians”, “a future Palestinian state”, “Gaza”, or “occupied Palestinian Territories” will not count.

“Israel-Palestine conflict” would count.

I started this because I noticed that the big politicians are fastidious about avoiding ‘Palestine’ as a noun.

A mention of the historic ‘Mandate of Palestine’ will resolve YES. I wouldn’t hold my breath waiting for a Putin-style history lesson from Trump, though.