When will SpaceX successfully land Superheavy (Starship 1st stage) for the first time?
Plus
39
Ṁ35kresolved Oct 13
Resolved
NOBefore 2024-08-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2024-09-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2024-10-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2024-11-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2024-12-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2025-01-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2025-02-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2025-03-01
The market resolves as soon as SpaceX manages to successfully land the first stage of the Starship rocket, aka Superheavy. Presumably the rocket will be captured by the launch tower, though other methods of landing would qualify, as long as it lands on land or on a barge. The rocket has to stay in one piece for at leave 1 hour of the landing.
I do not bet on my own questions:
Related questions:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-successfully-land-o1e8o780ic
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
37% chance
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?
39% chance
When will SpaceX first reuse Superheavy (Starship 1st stage)?
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
50% chance
By when will SpaceX re-fly a Super Heavy booster, as part of a space-bound flight
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
Will SpaceX's first Starship Cargo mission successfully land on the moon?
67% chance
Will SpaceX land a space-flown Starship in 2024?
2% chance