Will Aella report getting a cavity before 2026-01-01?
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Ṁ204resolved Oct 6
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Update 2023-09-27: don't bet in this market, instead use https://manifold.markets/Aella/will-i-get-any-new-cavities-after-a .
According to this status, @Aella is going to get Lantern Bioworks's magic germs painted on her teeth. Whether she gets any cavities seems like a decent (though noisy) proxy for whether the germs are in fact magic.
On 2026-01-01, I'll ask Aella whether she got a cavity. She answered my DM asking her permission to create this market, so, by induction, I assume she'll answer that one too! (But if she doesn't within a month, I'll resolve the market N/A.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@WilliamEhlhardt Right, I'll ask her; and if she doesn't respond, I'll resolve N/A. Market description updated.
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