Will the new Syrian government demand withdrawal from Golan by Israel as an official position before EOY26?
4
Ṁ352026
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before December 31, 2026, the Syrian government officially demands Israel's withdrawal from the Golan Heights. An official demand is defined as a formal statement or declaration made by the Syrian government, such as a public address by the president, an official press release, or a formal communication to international bodies like the United Nations. The resolution will be based on credible reports from reputable news organizations or official government publications.
Background
The Golan Heights is a strategically significant plateau that Israel captured from Syria during the 1967 Six-Day War and unilaterally annexed in 1981—a move not recognized by most of the international community.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
21% chance
Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2025?
16% chance
Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?
23% chance
Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2025?
16% chance
Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
27% chance
Will Syria recognize Israel during Trump's second term?
24% chance
Will Israel formally annex any part of Syria by the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will Egypt withdraw recognition of Israel by EOY 2026?
7% chance
Will the December 2024 Israeli invasion of Syria involve a permanent land grab?
97% chance
Will Turkey annex any portion of Syria by EOY2030? (even by establishing an informal gvmt?)
50% chance