If Joe Biden is elected, what will the effective US federal tax rate be for Amazon.com Inc. in tax year 2026?
If Joe Biden is elected, what will the effective US federal tax rate be for Amazon.com Inc. in tax year 2026?
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Conditional on Joe Biden being elected, what will the effective federal tax rate be for Amazon in 2026? Market numbers represent percents.
Will rely on reputable sources and averages of reputable sources if there is disagreement. For example for 2021, this article lists Amazon's effective federal income tax rate at 6.1% so the market would've resolved to the "4-7.5" bucket. If the value falls outside the range of buckets, the market will resolve to the nearest bucket.
Resolves N/A if Joe Biden is not elected in the 2024 elections.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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