Who will win the 2025 Tour de France Femmes?
➕
Plus
13
Ṁ5060
Aug 4
68%
Demi Vollering
7%
Katarzyna Niewiadoma
5%
Puck Pieterse
5%
Marlen Reusser
4%
Other
3%
Sarah Gigante
2%
Kim Le Court Pienaar
1.8%
Elisa Longo Borghini
1.4%
Lotte Kopecky
1.2%
Anna van der Breggen
1%
Pauline Ferrand-Prevot

The Tour de France Femmes 2025 will be held from Saturday, July 26 to Sunday, August 3rd of 2025. This market resolves YES to the winner of the general classification (yellow jersey) at the end of the race.

Last year's edition was won by Kasia Niewiadoma.

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@RedzoneITG I might make a high-liquidity version of this with fewer answers, what do you think? I'll probably have to close it relatively early the same way I did with the mens one.

I'm thinking Demi, Kasia, Marlen, and Other as the 4 options, with 10k each??

It's really important to me to get the starting probabilities correct on that, so I will have to plan out how to create the answers without wasting liquidity, but people seem to enjoy trading against a big fat AMM. I'll try to get it done later today.

@Eliza I agree that those seem like the most reasonable set of options.

manifesting this, imagine the hype of the peloton discord

@RedzoneITG According to the news article it sounded like they would plan on Kim for GC. But depending on how things play out, maybe Sarah could be in contention for a stage win on Stage 8? Many of the other stages feature descending after the last climb which would not favor her.

@Eliza GC for KLC is a surprise to me. I feel like this Tour is really going to reward pure mountain climbing prowess since it has (the hard version of) Madeleine as well as the Joux-Plane stage, and KLC is strong but I don't think she's a pure mountain climber. That's why I think Kasia is still second favorite as well.

reposted

So far this season, I haven't seen anything that indicates AvdB is in this discussion. The climbing level is just not there. YET.

@Eliza To be fair, I also haven’t seen anything that indicates anybody other than Demi Vollering is in this discussion if she shows up healthy, but you never know what can happen in cycling.

@RedzoneITG Teams gonna team! You never know.

sold Ṁ5 YES

Carrefour de l’Arbre is pretty different from the Col de la Madeleine but I’m hyped regardless

@RedzoneITG she's got a chance!!!

@RedzoneITG Okay, well, she's at least involved in the conversation. Picking up some Yes shares.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@Eliza I still think she's facing an uphill battle to take on Demi at the Tour, especially with big climbs like Madeleine and Joux-Plane where (I think) Demi should be favored, but it does look like a realistic possibility now

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