Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
Resolves as true if such a system is created and publicly announced before July 1st 2029
Here are markets the same criteria:
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2024?NO
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2025?4%
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2026?24%
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2027?35%
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2028?53%
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?47% (this question)
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2030?65%
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2031?70%
Yearwise markets:
Will we get AGI before 2024?NO
Will we get AGI before 2025?NO
Will we get AGI before 2026?4%
Will we get AGI before 2027?11%
Will we get AGI before 2028?31%
Will we get AGI before 2029?50%
Will we get AGI before 2030?58%
Will we get AGI before 2031?63%
Will we get AGI before 2032?66%
Will we get AGI before 2033?67%
Will we get AGI before 2034?73%
Will we get AGI before 2035?73%
Will we get AGI before 2036?73%
Will we get AGI before 2037?77%
Will we get AGI before 2038?76%
Will we get AGI before 2039?79%
Will we get AGI before 2040?80%
Will we get AGI before 2041?83%
Will we get AGI before 2042?83%
Will we get AGI before 2043?83%
Will we get AGI before 2044?84%
Will we get AGI before 2045?86%
Related markets:
Will we get ASI before 2028?10%
Will we get ASI before 2029?13%
Will we get ASI before 2030?22%
Will we get ASI before 2031?33%
Will we get ASI before 2032?44%
Will we get ASI before 2033?54%
Other questions:
Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?47%
Will we get AGI before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China?40%
Will we get AGI before a human walks on the Moon again?33%
Will we get AGI before a human walks on Mars?69%
Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:AGI_circuit_board.png
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00