Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia a member of MS-13? [resolves to poll] | Manifold

Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia a member of MS-13? [resolves to poll]

40

Ṁ2346

Nov 9

8%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

On November 1 in my time zone, I will create a poll lasting a ~week with this title and the following answers:

Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia a member of MS-13?

Yes
No
Unsure/see results

If there are more YES votes than NO votes, this market resolves YES. (A tie resolves NO.)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Trump's Second Term

#Kilmar Abrego Garcia

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ10 NO

If they had any decent evidence he was they would have absolutely shared it by now. The absence of evidence is evidence of absence

bought Ṁ30 NO from 9% to 8%

Related questions

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be freed into the US at any point in 2025?

+10% 1d40% chance

Concrete evidence of Abrego Garcia's MS-13 affiliation before May 21, 2025

Will Kilmar Ábrego García appear publicly with any 2028 presidential candidate?

Kilmer Abrego Garcia returns to US or is alive New Years 2026?

+5% 1d99% chance

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Related questions

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be freed into the US at any point in 2025?

Kilmer Abrego Garcia returns to US or is alive New Years 2026?

Concrete evidence of Abrego Garcia's MS-13 affiliation before May 21, 2025

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Will Kilmar Ábrego García appear publicly with any 2028 presidential candidate?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules