Will @LuigiMangione's net worth exceed Ṁ20,000 before August?
98.3%
chance

Resolves YES if @LuigiMangione's net worth exceeds 20,000 mana at any point before this market closes. Otherwise, resolves NO.

  • Update 2025-07-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified the source of truth for determining net worth. Resolution will be based on what the net worth should be according to all available information, such as the balance log, rather than relying only on the value displayed on the user's profile.

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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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I've noticed Luigi's mana balance updates pretty slowly. Maybe once a day or something? Maybe even less?

When it comes to resolution time, will it just be "the value shown on his profile at the time", or some other source?

@retr0id I think the best option here is "what his net worth should be based off all available info such as balance log etc"

does anyone have any problems with that?

sold Ṁ15 NO

@Robincvgr just sold my position in case this gets controversial

@retr0id should be at least 1/day for the inactive users

We really need All Or None orders

Does this market implicitly endorse murder?

For as long as luigi's balance is below M20K (and before the end of the market), I pledge to match managrams 1:1.

You managram him M100, I managram him M100.

I only have M510 on the line now, but it would cost me ~M10K to bump luigi's balance. So the best thing for me to do (if the market was resolving now) is to eat the M510 loss and walk away. Betting NO rn is free mana!

opened a Ṁ10,000 YES at 55% order

@retr0id well, now I have slightly more on the line, and it's starting to get interesting ;)

bought Ṁ500 YES

wish there was more liquidity here lol

could probably do with an M in the title

@retr0id lmao yeah true

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