Will unemployment rate in the United States reach 10% in 2024?
Will unemployment rate in the United States reach 10% in 2024?
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Ṁ11kresolved Jan 10
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Will resolve YES if the unemployment rate is at 10% or higher at any point in 2024 in the United States according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Will resolve NO if unemployment rate remained under 10% for all of 2024 after data for the whole year is made public.
Source used for resolution:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
Screenshot showing data up to November 2023 for reference:
Related:
Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?27%
Update 2024-31-12 (PST): - Resolution Date: The market will remain open until it is officially resolved on January 10. (AI summary of creator comment)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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