Will Biden pardon himself?
Basic
8
Ṁ737
Feb 24
8%
chance

Resolves YES if Biden issues a self-pardon, even if later overridden by courts or otherwise revoked. Otherwise resolves NO when Biden ceases to be president.

Since I don't see any plausible way the resolution could be ambiguous, I'll be betting in this market freely.

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How does this resolve if Kamala temporarily assumes the powers of the Presidency (as she did during Biden's last colonoscopy) and pardons Biden during that time?

@JeffBerman I see zero ambiguity here, that definitely is not Biden pardoning himself

@jack So if his administration concocts a plan to pardon Biden, that doesn’t count. OK. Thank you for clarifying.

Also (since I don't follow the news) is Biden likely to be accused of a crime?

@Boklam There's been various news recently related to his handling of classified documents during the time in between being VP and being P. It's extremely politically salient; I have no opinion on its actual legal relevance.

Do you want to extend the close time?

@Boklam Whoops; done. If JB is re-elected it'll be extended again to 2028.

predictedNO

@ScottLawrence Shouldn't it be 2025, updated to 2029 if he gets re-elected?

predictedYES

@NcyRocks Yeah, y'know what, I really should be going to sleep :)

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