Will a global AI watchdog be set up in London, modelled on the International Atomic Energy Agency, by Jan 1 2026?
Plus
18
Ṁ15892025
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
e.g. https://twitter.com/hzeffman/status/1664968556688076801?s=20
This market will resolve YES if an institution deemed by me to be roughly fitting this description (eg has significant international cooperation) is set up in London by January 1, 2026. If an institute like this is set up in another country instead it will resolve NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?
66% chance
Will China announce the establishment of an AI Safety Insitute in 2024?
29% chance
Will the EU announce the creation of a new agency to oversee the implementation and application of the AI Act pre-2025?
32% chance
Will a state, province, or country issue a public health warning or laws about AI companions in 2024?
22% chance
Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?
78% chance
Will Australia announce the establishment of an AI Safety Insitute in 2024?
15% chance
By end of 2028, will there be a global AI organization, responsible for AI safety and regulations?
43% chance
[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?
73% chance
Will any adopted UN Security Council resolution mention AI by end of 2024?
24% chance
International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?
48% chance