Immortality or Death by AGI?
Plus
32
Ṁ7812200
1D
1W
1M
ALL
46%
Immortality
15%
Death by AGI
40%
Neither
This resolves based on the best estimate of what happened to the plurality of users that were active on manifold.markets during the year 2023
Definitions
Immortality: Being over 200 years old with an annual death probability of less than 0.1%
Death by AGI: Any non-natural death where AGI plays a role in any form. For example, a nuclear war initiated with the involvement of AGI in the decision-making process or in building the nukes would count for this option
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