When will an AI win the $5 million XTX AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize?
Plus
45
Ṁ39632030
2%
2024
24%
2025
17%
2026
14%
2027
13%
2028
9%
2029
21%
2030 or later
https://aimoprize.com/
The grand prize of $5mn will be awarded to the first publicly-shared AI model to enter an AI-MO approved competition and perform at a standard equivalent to a gold medal in the IMO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
71% chance
When will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?
8% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
76% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
79% chance
Will an AI outcompete the best humans on any one programming contest of IOI, ICPC, or CodeForces before 2025?
2% chance
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2025?
11% chance
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?
66% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?
9% chance
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
44% chance