Will the housing crisis abate in 2025?
Will the housing crisis abate in 2025?
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The U.S. and other countries are experiencing extremely high rent and housing prices, with associated homelessness and "hedonic adjustment" for younger and certain older segments of the population. Will this situation improve by December 31, 2025?
Market resolves EOY, based on popular consensus.
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The resolution criteria is extremely unclear. For there to be a public consensus it had abated there would likely have to be a big shift. There's probably a better resolution criteria that has to do with reductions in housing costs in major cities.
Good point. It's a complex problem and could improve in one area while worsening in another. I will think on this.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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