I will resolve this market shortly after 2025 ends using all the information I can find online. I will also engage with traders and allow everyone to present their arguments. If the available information is not conclusive, then I will wait for the 2024 earning reports to be released early February before making an informed decision and resolving the market. I won’t bet on this market to avoid bias.
I believe each of these companies has a shot. OpenAI through their iPhone integration, Google with their distribution advantage as the default homepage on many devices, and Meta through their popular apps like WhatsApp and Facebook. I’m excited to see how this plays out.
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I think this will be a really fun market to watch over the next 16 months. I am planning on adding liquidity by upgrading the market to PLUS once I have enough MANA
feel free to contribute to the cause by sending me some mana 😉
I think the company with the biggest distribution channel will win. All LLMs are converging to the same quality and the differences won’t be noticeable by the mainstream ai consumer.
@SimranRahman agree, meta has a real chance of being on top but it will be close. ChatGPT reached 100mil users in their first year so I assume they atleast have ~200mil active users by now. If we add all the users they get from the Apple integration that launches end of the year then they also have a chance.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
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and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00