Will an AI provider be sued due to the actions taken by their AI by the end of 2025?
Will an AI provider be sued due to the actions taken by their AI by the end of 2025?
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Will an AI API provider such as OpenAI, Stability.ai, etc be civilly sued in the United States of America due to the actions taken by their AI? For example, if GPT-4 is provided tools for moving a robot arm, and GPT-4 takes action to injure a person or property - will OpenAI get sued? The case must not be thrown out as meritless, but must actually come to either a settlement, trial, or other resolution indicating liability or non-liability. The AI provider does not need to be found liable, but the case must have merit to be seriously considered. The case also does not need to be fully resolved by the closing date, but must have been determined to have some merit.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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