Will Tumblr Survive Another 10 Years?
Will Tumblr Survive Another 10 Years?
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Tumblr is often called the cockroach of the internet, as it always seems to be at the brink of collapse, but is always active. But, as the internet progresses, will it's original spirit survive until 2033?
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What is meant by "its original spirit"? Is there a scenario where the tumblr.com domain is still actively used in 10 years that wouldn't resolve YES?
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@Kraalnaxx if tumblr turns into your average social media where people beg for followers and dashboards are dominated by "for you" algorithms, i would resolve no, as that is not tumblr anymore. thats rebranded twitter.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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