What will be my all-time mana profit (in thousands) at the end of each month in 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ157
Dec 31
37%
April 🐇
39%
May 💈
41%
June ☀️
44%
July 🗽
46%
August 🏖️
48%
September 🏫
50%
October 🎃
52%
November 🔥
54%
December 🎄

End of the month here means precisely 23:59 UTC of the last calendar day of said month.

If my all-time mana profit is somehow negative then said option resolves to 0%, and similarly if it is somehow greater than 100,000 then said option resolves to 100%.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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It has occurred to me that the mostly linear profit growth and small liquidity split among many options may be significantly reducing the appeal of this market, for which I apologise

@TheAllMemeingEye My frequent betting might have made it less interesting for others as well. 🤔

opened a Ṁ2 NO at 54% order

@TheAllMemeingEye I guess making numeric markets for individual months and/or date markets for individual milestones might indeed be more appealing.

@4fa possibly, I may try that at some point

opened a Ṁ2 NO at 35% order

@TheAllMemeingEye I guess March resolves to 35%, right? 😁

@4fa I think technically it rounds closer to 36% but pretty much, thanks :)

@TheAllMemeingEye Oh, right, I must have misread – or it changed that much in the last twenty minutes. :-D

@TheAllMemeingEye I guess February resolves to 33%, right? :-)

@4fa you're right, thanks for the reminder :)

reposted

For context, my profit graph as of 5 Feb

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