Will Manifold successfully guess who I am thinking of within a week? (Insider info and mana prize for winner)
46%
chance

I have one specific extremely obscure person / being / character in mind and your job is to figure out who. Hash to retroactively prove that I did not change my answer:

53016q8qpp73rqn66ro6r5sq45q02rp1p6709qoq8108ro3o5s833457sn60po25

Everyone can ask one yes-or-no question per 12h (can be on or off topic), and I will reply with yes, no, grey area, ask you to rephrase if it's unclear, or in rare cases refuse to answer if it would reveal vitally confidential information.

EDIT: cooldown time reduced to 1h

If you are the first to correctly guess the answer, I'll let you know in DMs so you can bet big on YES before I tell everyone and resolve, and I'll give you 50% of the total earned new trader bonuses.

I will not bet on this market to maintain neutrality.

Inspired by the recent wave of similar markets.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

You said previously that they were "partially" a religious figure- was the religion they are associated with Islam, Judaism, or Christianity?

Is the area they were born and "the area they were primarily active in" basically the same thing?

(Mostly asking so that we can say things like "from" rather than being more precise.)

Was this person born on or before 1430 CE?

We're they part of the Walashma dynasty?

Queen Yodit/Gudit?

@Lorelai actually, you just added a response to another question that indicates they were not born before the year 1400

@Lorelai also its a man based on previous answers

@Lorelai retract this Q

Is this person from the southern region of africa (which seems a bit ambigious but as defined here as modern day Angola, Zambia, Tanzania, or further south?)

Was this person primarily associated with kingdoms in the Sahel region?

-Question by Gemini, I have no clue what's going on here...

@FergusArgyll no, but I would ask that going forward AI not be used to wholesale write questions, that feels like automating away the act of playing the game

Were they active in present-day Zimbabwe?

Were they from south of the sahara desert?

We're they a powerful ruler or member of some kind of royal-equvalent dynasty?

Do they have a Wikipedia page?

@ChristopherDilli partially, they don't have a full page just about them, but they are mentioned repeatedly in a page about the context they were prominent in

bought Ṁ50 NO

Is it Moses?

Were they primarily active in Africa?

Almost by miracle, reducing the cooldown seems to have caused there to now be a decent number of players asking actually good questions, if this continues there could maybe be a chance, emphasis on maybe...

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules