When or where will Trump die?
➕
Plus
76
Ṁ16k
2036
97%
In the US
76%
Before we get ASI
75%
Before we get AGI
74%
After his presidency
62%
Mar-a-Lago
57%
In a hospital
55%
In Florida
40%
Surrounded by his friends and loved ones
37%
Before 2030
36%
After 2035
28%
On an airplane
27%
During WW3
26%
While in office
19%
In front of a camera
17%
On a Monday
14%
On a Sunday
14%
On a Tuesday
14%
On a Wednesday
14%
On a Friday
14%
On a Saturday

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old. He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history. According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources. If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.

The market will resolve N/A if:

  • Trump's death cannot be verified by multiple reputable sources

  • The exact date of death cannot be determined

  • The death occurs under disputed circumstances where the date is unclear

Considerations

  • Trump has access to high-quality medical care and resources which may extend life expectancy beyond population averages

  • His father, Fred Trump, lived to be 93 years old, suggesting possible genetic factors for longevity

  • As a former president, he receives lifetime medical care from military physicians

  • Stress factors from legal proceedings and potential political activities could impact health outcomes

  • Medical privacy laws may affect the timing and details of death announcements

Note: This market deals with the death of a public figure. Traders should approach the topic with appropriate sensitivity and respect.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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bought Ṁ50 NO

@Marnix does Trump have friends and loved ones?

bought Ṁ50 NO

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