Elon Musk is indicted by the DOJ / SEC for securities fraud before 2025?
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Jan 1
55%
chance

Word on the street is that this might happen. What do you think? Resolves in about two weeks.

  • Update 2024-14-12 (PST): - A charge by the DOJ/SEC will be treated the same as an indictment for resolution purposes and will resolve the market as YES (AI summary of creator comment)

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https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-charged-or-indict

Will the USA federal government announce charges/investigation/indictment against Elon Musk by the end of 2024?
4% chance.

@TimothyBandors does this resolve to no if he is charged and not indicted by the deadline?

@preferNotToSay I think the spirit of the question would make this resolve YES in that case. Let me know if anyone disagrees.

@TimothyBandors I respectfully disagree. I think the question is misleading if it resolves this way.

@TimothyBandors okay, close your position and I'll send a managram for any lost mana

@TimothyBandors It's okay, I was able to find a related market and hedge my position.

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