Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2026? | Manifold

Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2026?

Basic

11

Ṁ1153

2026

5%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES it at any time within 2026, mainstream news sources (e.g. Dutch NOS News) report that the Dutch cabinet has fallen (in said year). Resolves NO otherwise.

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Any cabinet? Or the previous one?

@TheWabiSabi Any cabinet of the Netherlands.

@Vincent maybe you should have asked, how many cabinets...

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Will a Dutch cabinet fall?

reposted

The odds of this should be lowering now

@Vincent Ah, and they did!

bought Ṁ42 NO

Whatever the dutch cabinet happens to be at the time?

@asmith Yes, whichever cabinet.

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