Haredi parties exit Israeli coalition before Knesset recess on July 31, 2025
7
Ṁ1053
resolved Jul 15
Resolved
YES

The ultra-Orthodox (Haredi) parties, Shas and United Torah Judaism (UTJ), have threatened to leave Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition if legislation exempting their community from military service is not passed. The Knesset's summer recess begins on July 31, 2025. This market resolves to 'Yes' if either Shas or UTJ officially withdraws from the coalition before this date. Official announcements from the parties or the Prime Minister's Office will serve as resolution sources. (ft.com)

  • Update 2025-07-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has announced their intention to resolve the market to YES. Please see the creator's comment for their reasoning and the source.

  • Update 2025-07-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has announced their intention to resolve the market to YES. Please see the creator's comment for their reasoning and the source.

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It is in english wikipedia now, so I think it is common knowledge and thus I resolve it as YES.

bought Ṁ50 YES

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/agudat-yisrael-announces-resignation-from-government-following-degel-hatorahs-lead/

With both factions of UTJ gone, Aryeh Deri’s Shas party will be the sole ultra-Orthodox faction in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government.

I intend to resolve YES after ~24 hours.

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