Will Rashida Tlaib be re-elected to Congress in 2024?
Will Rashida Tlaib be re-elected to Congress in 2024?
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7
Ṁ438Jan 6
94%
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Will Rashida Tlaib (D-MI) be re-elected to the US Congress in the 2024 general election?
She does not have to be on the Nov 2024 ballot for this to resolve to NO if she doesn't win. If she does not run for any reason, or does not advance from the primary, this would resolve to NO.
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Wildly overvalued imo. She's being gunned for really hard. I think it's more likely than not, but nowhere near 80%.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
Learn more.1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.