Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal for US residents in 2025?

Premium

Ṁ94k

Jan 1

91%

chance

ALL

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:

This question will resolve as Yes if, in the calendar year 2025, US residents can legally participate in at least one Polymarket or Manifold market using real money.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Technology

#Manifold

#Manifold Business Future

#ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Get

1,000

and

3.00

14 Comments

92 Holders

316 Trades

Sort by:

bought Ṁ20 NO

@Joshua @Tulip @brod @saulmunn Considering where the metacalculus market is putting the odds, you might want to cash out

@traders , the Metaculus market has not been re-resolved yet so I am reopening this one

@WalterMartin @mods unresolved on metaculus! Give me my money back

@NivlacM uh oh, yeah, @mods I'll need the assist on this one

@WalterMartin I assume Is a request to unresolve. If not, you can resolve it again.

It’ll stay closed until you open it or resolve

@Ziddletwix thank you!

@traders, I'm going to keep this closed for a day or so (and promise no shenanigans on my part on reopening). If Metaculus hasn't re-resolved by tomorrow evening PT, I'll reopen this.

@WalterMartin very reasonable even though I wish I could convince everyone to bet no so I could exit my position

@NivlacM I too would love that lol

bought Ṁ13,140 YES

Resolved yes on metaculus @WalterMartin

@Bayesian I gotchu fam

bought Ṁ10 NO

Why the sudden spike?

@Robincvgr what do you know? 😂

Oh nevermind, seems like you're just cashing out

Related questions

Related questions