Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?
Premium
69
แน53kJan 2
94%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if the median price for "Democratic" is higher than the median price for "Republican" on the Kalshi market Which party will win the 2028 Presidential Election?, for the dates December 25, 2025, to December 31, 2025, inclusive.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
42% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
57% chance
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
55% chance
Democrats win 2028 election?
57% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
54% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
57% chance
Will a democrat win the 2028 presidential election?
57% chance
Will democrats win the presidency, the House and the Senate in the 2028 election?
35% chance
Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?
58% chance
Will the party that wins the 2024 USA election win in 2028?
47% chance