I will resolve this based on some combination of how much it gets talked about in elections, how much money goes to interest groups on both topics, and how much of the "political conversation" seems to be about either.
1,000
3.00To clarify, for the purposes of this market, would we have considered guns to be a big political issue in 2028? Neither candidate put much emphasis on gun rhetoric during their campaigns, even if their platforms may have said something about guns. And it seems like relatively few people voted for either candidate on the basis of their position on guns. Would we apply similar standards in 2028 to decide what counts as a "big political issue"?
@thepurplebull They mean most industrialized countries. Most of Africa and South America don't but almost everywhere else it's legal. Hell even Italy and Ireland, two predominantly Christian countries now allow it.
@thepurplebull Sorry for the huge delay replying here. From the data I’ve seen, most countries agree on their abortion laws.
The US remains contentious because the structure of the states/system allows for the minority opinion to make political progress. Even in the US, most people agree on abortion
