Will OpenAI release o3 before GPT-5?

Ṁ1183

Mar 16

27%

chance

ALL

A release is availability via either the API or to paid ChatGPT subscribers.

Integration into wrappers like Deep Research or exclusive access to certain companies or testers doesn’t count.

If the releases are announced on the same day or o3 release is announced first, and GPT-5 is released within a week of o3, I will count that as simultaneous and resolve No.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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bought Ṁ250 NO

https://x.com/sama/status/1889755723078443244

"No longer releasing o3 as standalone"

@Arcmage7000 oh thank you I missed that part, maybe I should N/A the market

@ahalekelly hmm, up to you, I was just posting it to spread the info. Still pretty decent odds that they cjange their minds and release o3, certainly not impossible

@Arcmage7000 yeah this market is at 24% which is pretty significant, I’ll leave it open then

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