Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?
Basic
6
Ṁ2042027
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Same concept of previously created market, but on a longer timeframe
🇨🇳🇹🇼🇺🇸
https://manifold.markets/alby/will-chinas-smic-manage-to-manufact
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
20% chance
Will TSMC announce any new investment in building a US fab by the end of 2024?
31% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
61% chance
Will a SMIC 5nm chip make it into production in a consumer Huawei device in 2024?
9% chance
Will a Chinese company make and release a semiconductor equal to or less than 5nm by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?
75% chance
Will India successfully produce and sell domestic microchips before the end of 2024?
18% chance
[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
61% chance
Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026?
11% chance