Will the Russia Ukraine war end up in a stalemate without a formal peace treaty, like Korea?
Plus
56
Ṁ34862033
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will be extended as needed, if the war is still hot.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@benjaminIkuta could use Wikipedia as a source to comfirm that:
a) a ceasefire is in place between both nations, and
b) the ceasefire has largely been observed by both sides for a period longer than a year*.
You could also add a caveat in that there should not be any obvious impending military operations from both sides as generally reported.
*Year period is just an arbitrary value, not sure if that's acceptable or not...
@benjaminIkuta @vitamind sounds like the title could be shortened to "Will the Russia Ukraine war end without a formal peace treaty?"
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?
60% chance
Will the Ukrainian-Russian war be considered out of a "stalemate" between now and the end of 2024?
38% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2025?
50% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?
1% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war conclude in a negotiated settlement?
79% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
54% chance
Will the Ukraine conflict end up in a demilitarized zone (DMZ) [like Korea] by end of 2025?
26% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will the Russia/Ukrainian war end before the end of 2025?
46% chance
Will the Ukraine war enter a state of "frozen conflict" by EOY 2025?
27% chance