Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
Plus
90
Ṁ16k2030
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence. It doesn't count if he is held while awaiting trial or sentencing. House arrest also doesn't count, it must be an official prison. However, it DOES count if he is held in prison awaiting execution or similar.
Resolves NO if the above hasn't happened before 1 Jan 2030, 0000hrs UTC.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
When will Trump serve time?
Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
10% chance
Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?
23% chance
If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?
70% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2028?
18% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2029?
13% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison time before 2026?
10% chance
Will Trump spend any time in jail by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will Trump spend any time in prison before he dies?
15% chance