Will any Manifold user be imprisoned in CECOT or a similar prison after deportation from the US during Trump's 2nd term?
18
Ṁ60622029
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve YES, there must be credible reports that:
1) the proposed individual traded on Manifold at least once;
2) the proposed individual has been deported from the US;
3) the proposed individual is in CECOT or a prison with a similarly poor human rights record outside of the US.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk be deported by the end of Trump's second term?
12% chance
Will Elon Musk be in prison by the end of Donald Trump’s term?
7% chance
Will at least one person who voted for Trump be deported by the Trump Administration
69% chance
Will the US knowingly deport at least one citizen to El Salvador for imprisonment by EOY2025?
56% chance
Will at least one Thiel Fellow be deported out of the US by EOY2028?
48% chance
Will at least one @_TheResidency fellow be deported out of the US by EOY2028?
50% chance
Will the US have to build Trump a personal prison like Pablo Escobar if he is convicted?
9% chance
Will a Trump administration imprison a journalist, a politician, or an "enemy of the state" before the 2026 midterms?
76% chance
Will the Trump admin deport a usa citizen over Tesla arson or related crimes by end of 2025?
12% chance
Current or former US senator, congressman, congresswoman, or a federal judge sent to CECOT during Trump's term?
17% chance