🏀 Men's March Madness 2025 Prop Bets 🎲

Basic

Ṁ20k

Apr 9

99%

Over 295.5 total points scored across all Final Four games (incl. Championship)

51%

Team that scores first in the championship game also wins the championship

20%

Current/former US President attends Championship game

Player scores a triple-double

Half-court shot is made and counts

Comeback win after down 17+ points

Player scores more than 40.5 points in single game

Coach ejected from a game

Allegations about players gambling during tournament

38%

The Most Outstanding Player of the tournament is a guard

12%

Any Final Four (incl. Championship) game goes to OT

99%

Coach of championship winning team has an “e” in first or last name

At least one game goes to double overtime

The combined score of at least one game is over 202.5

Player scores more than 37 points in single game

88%

A crying fan in the “One Shining Moment” tourney recap video

Submit whatever* you think might happen during the 2025 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament (March Madness) here, and if it happens it will resolve YES.

*Please refrain from submitting answers covered ad nauseam elsewhere on Manifold, such as about the win/loss results of individual games.

Make your answers as understandable as possible with just the text so traders don't have to read the comments to know how something will resolve.

I reserve the right to reword answers myself to make them more clear. I may N/A submissions for any reason.

Evidence provided in comments is strongly encouraged to facilitate speedy resolution. I reserve the right to resolve NO any answer for which sufficient evidence is not provided, though will do what I can to resolve independently.

Other mods are welcome to resolve answers in this market.

See related markets on the March Madness 2025 dashboard.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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answered17d

Coach of championship winning team has an “e” in first or last name

bought Ṁ300 Coach of championshi... YES1d

Kelvin Sampson (Houston), Todd Golden (Florida), and Jon Scheyer (Duke) all have an e

answered17d

The Most Outstanding Player of the tournament is a guard

@10thOfficial is there a particular source you’re using to determine formal position? ie Wikipedia, ESPN, etc

@dglid Wikipedia will be okay. (i.e. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tristen_Newton)

answered17d

Any Final Four (incl. Championship) game goes to OT

bought Ṁ20 Any Final Four (incl... NO9d

I'm starting to be convinced that some of you have been leaked a script or something from how many people are betting YES up

answered17d

Comeback win after down 17+ points

opened a Ṁ250 Comeback win after d... NO at 5% order9d

Texas Tech just had a 16-point comeback win 😳. Looks like 17+ is very rare though

answered20d

At least one team seeded 9 or worse reaches the Elite Eight

opened a Ṁ1,000 At least one team se... NO at 1.0% order10d

Resolves NO, as Arkansas, the last team seeded 9 or worse, was just eliminated by Texas Tech

answered17d

The combined score of at least one game is over 182.5

10d

@10thOfficial Alabama beats BYU 113-88, almost got to the 202.5 lol

answered17d

Basketball gets stuck between rim & backboard

13d

Can anyone confirm in which game this happened?

13d

@EstMtz @10thOfficial @meh ?

13d

@dglid UNM vs Mich St, 13:00~ 2nd half

13d

@meh confirmed! 12:32 to be exact. Resolving Yes.

13d

@Geometry Vibes, I am an NCAA basketball fan.

answered17d

The combined score of at least one game is at least 180

bought Ṁ500 The combined score o... YES14d

@10thOfficial BYU-Wisconsin 91 + 89 = 180

answered17d

More teams with names starting with vowels make it to the Sweet 16 than ones starting with consonants**

bought Ṁ580 More teams with name... NO14d

@10thOfficial Five vowel teams (Auburn, Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Ole Miss), eleven consonant teams

answered17d

Basketball gets stuck between rim & backboard

bought Ṁ50 Basketball gets stuc... YES14d

@10thOfficial UNM vs Mich St, 13:00~ 2nd half

answered17d

Game tied at halftime

bought Ṁ400 Game tied at halftime YES14d

@10thOfficial UConn vs Florida

answered29d

A bracket prediction (on any website) is perfect for at least the first 40 games

15d

@Ibozz91 resolves YES

https://fantasy.espn.com/games/tournament-challenge-bracket-2025/bracket?id=d6a51ff0-054a-11f0-8fbd-05239e6e65a2

answered1y

Any #14 seed upsets a #3 seed in the Round of 64

bought Ṁ570 Any #14 seed upsets ... NO16d

@dglid resolves NO

answered17d

Coach of championship winning team has an “e” in first or last name

17d

@10thOfficial what are we referencing as a source for names here?

17d

@dglid The name under "Head coach" on the team's Wikipedia page.

Friendly reminder to traders that all references to "Final Four" include the Semi-finals (final four teams) as well as the Championship game. Screwy, but that is how it is officially defined.

17d

@10thOfficial "final 4 games" does not mean that includes 4 games, rather that it's the semi-finals and final.

17d

@DanielTilkin Yes, that's what I meant to say.

17d

**Names as listed on the Google bracket, y is a consonant

18d

Oops, I just realized my wording is ambiguous — when I say “a team 5 or lower makes the Final Four”, I mean teams seeded from 5 to 16, excluding teams from 1 to 4. If @DavidGlidden wants to find a more clear wording, go ahead

18d

@UniversalFC want to sell your shares before I update the answer text to match?

17d

@RedzoneITG @UniversalFC answer text has been updated

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What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

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