Which stocks will outperform the S&P 500 during 2025?πŸ“Š πŸ“ˆπŸ’°πŸ€‘πŸ’³
βž•
Plus
43
αΉ€8718
2026
66%
Microsoft
64%
TSMC
63%
AMD
63%
Apple
63%
Amazon
61%
Google
61%
Nvidia
61%
Palantir
57%
Tesla
53%
Visa
52%
Micron
51%
Costco
50%
NestlΓ©
48%
Meta
48%
Intel
48%
Pepsi
48%
Walmart
48%
Target
48%
Dollar General
48%
Mastercard

Please feel free to add whatever stocks you like.

Resolution Criteria

  • A stock will resolve YES if its percentage return exceeds the S&P 500's percentage return for the calendar year 2025 (Jan 1, 2025 - Dec 31, 2025)

  • A stock will resolve NO if its percentage return is equal to or less than the S&P 500's return

  • If a stock is delisted, acquired, or undergoes a major corporate restructuring, it will be evaluated based on the return up to that event

  • If a stock splits or reverse splits, the returns will be adjusted accordingly

  • Update 2024-19-12 (PST): Returns will be calculated using total return which includes both dividends and stock price appreciation. (AI summary of creator comment)

Get
αΉ€1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

why plantir?

Do you adjust for dividends?

@BenjaminNewlon

Yep, total returns include dividends and stock price appreciation

Good question; ive added it to the description

bought αΉ€28 NO

@elf Will you include dividends in the SP500 return? Will you assume that dividends are reinvested? (I believe both of those would be pretty standard assumptions for this kind of question.)

@EmilyConn Yep, good questions. Will also explicitly state this in description.

bought αΉ€50 YES

I’m going to take $100 and create a stock portfolio on the top 5 stocks.

adjust to the market % on 1st of every month and post the portfolio performance

@PaulHan great idea! let us know how it goes

Β© Manifold Markets, Inc.β€’Terms + Mana-only Termsβ€’Privacyβ€’Rules