Sam Altman’s recent tweet
Resolves Yes if OpenAI increases the cost of its pro tier plan from $200 per month to something significantly greater (ie larger than a 5% increase) in 2025
Update 2025-07-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If new features are added to the plan and then the price increases — resolves Yes
If more tiers are added (i.e., not just the 2 tiers of pro/plus) AND there is no tier called “pro” — resolves N/A
It’s not so much about o1 (as o1 is already available in limited amounts to plus tier & o3 + o3 mini could likely come out this year) but rather whether the tier is called “pro” or whether it’s the second consumer level tier (and there are only 2 consumer tiers)
1,000
3.00If new features are added to the plan and then the price is increased does this resolve yes? What if o1 pro is added to another, lower or same cost plan?
@LukeShadwell great questions
if new features are added to the plan then the price increases — resolves Yes
If there are more tiers added (ie not just the 2 tiers of pro/plus) AND there is no tier called “pro” — resolves N/A
it’s not so much about o1 (as o1 is already available in limited amounts to plus tier & o3 + o3 mini could likely come out this year) but rather whether the tier is called “pro” or whether it’s the second consumer level tier (and there’s only 2 consumer tiers)
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00